Jusuf Nurkic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 2:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jusuf Nurkic has made 43.7% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 12.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season while playing at home.
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
The matchup vs. Ben Simmons is a good one for shots from the field; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a colossal 65.3% of their field goal attempts (96th percentile).
Jusuf Nurkic will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 51.6% rate, Jusuf Nurkic's shooting effectiveness has decreased this year to 36.8%.
Jusuf Nurkic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Suns rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 5th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Nets).

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