Jusuf Nurkic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2024

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 26, 2024

Updated Nov 27, 2024 2:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 45.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 13.0% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season playing at home.
The clash with Anthony Davis lands in only the 89th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs sinking a whopping 6.5 baskets per game this year when they have the home court advantage.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Jusuf Nurkic should see a rise in productivity in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk just 36.1% of his field goal attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 51.6 mark last year.
Among all players in the league, Jusuf Nurkic places in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.6 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
With respect to offense, the Suns's poor 105.0 points per game places 4th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

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