Jusuf Nurkic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 10:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jusuf Nurkic has made 43.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 13.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
The Suns have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Suns.
Among all players in the league, Jusuf Nurkic measures in the 85th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a colossal 3.4 free throws per game away from home since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 4.6 foul shots per game (87th percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic ranks in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.2 fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.
The rate of three-point shots hit against Daniel Gafford has been quite low (12.5%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (14th percentile).
Jusuf Nurkic will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

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