Jusuf Nurkic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 2:37 AM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic ranks in the 78th percentile for field goal proficiency with the home court advantage with a terrific 52.0% rate this year.
Jusuf Nurkic has made 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 28.0% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
As it relates to offense, the Suns's remarkable 116.0 points per game rates 6th-most in the league over the last 25 games.
The Suns have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic places in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The number of shots converted against Rudy Gobert has been quite low (5.5 per game) when he is playing on the road and matched up against other starting Cs this year (23rd percentile).
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 7thworst in in the league while at home with just 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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