Jusuf Nurkic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2024

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 1, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 3:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The clash with Jonas Valanciunas places in only the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs making a whopping 61.6% of their shot attempts from the field this year.
The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Jonas Valanciunas is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when Valanciunas is on his home court other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.6 foul shots per game (79th percentile).

Favors Under

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk a mere 21.3% of his 3-point shots this season, significantly less than his 31.5 rate last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 3.2 fouls per game away from home this year.
As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Phoenix Suns will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Out of all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic places in the 13th percentile for free-throw efficiency with an unimpressive 61.4% rate this year.

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