Jusuf Nurkic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 1:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 55.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing away from home.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Jusuf Nurkic has successfully made a mere 21.3% of his three-pointers this year, quite a bit lower than his 31.5 mark last year.
Jusuf Nurkic has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as the away team in regard to three-point attempts.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns.
Jusuf Nurkic should suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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