Jusuf Nurkic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 2:32 AM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jusuf Nurkic has made 66.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.7% more than he's converted in all games this season while at home.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for scoring; opposing squads have put up the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.2%).
The faceoff with Chet Holmgren rates in just the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs averaging a colossal 17.0 points per game this year when they have the home court advantage.
The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Suns are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 31.5% mark, Jusuf Nurkic's three-point proficiency has decreased this year to 21.8%.
Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (99th percentile).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
This year, opposing squads have captured 12.5 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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