Jusuf Nurkic Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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Jusuf Nurkic

NBA · Player Props

Jusuf Nurkic

C · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 7:45 PM UTC

Analysis

Jusuf Nurkic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 6.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic places in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 3.2 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
Jusuf Nurkic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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