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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has sunk 8.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Julius Randle has successfully made 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made overall this year.

Julius Randle has averaged 31.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 5.6 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Lakers, marking this as a strong matchup.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Timberwolves.

In contrast to last year's 6.6 mark, Julius Randle's number of free throws has declined this year to 4.9 free throws per game.

Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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