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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Brooklyn Nets

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has converted 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.

Julius Randle has tallied 31.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

The Timberwolves have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle is expected to get a boost in production for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have compiled 11.4 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nets, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.

The 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.

Compared to last season's 5.1 clip, Julius Randle's foul shots drained have dropped this season to 4.0 per game.

The matchup against Brooklyn is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets are away from home (least in the NBA).

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