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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Julius Randle comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year.

As it relates to shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 123.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has compiled a mere 18.7 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 24.0 points per game last year.

Julius Randle has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).

The 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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