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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has made 44.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 14.7% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.

Julius Randle has tallied 31.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Suns are the visiting squad (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has compiled a mere 18.6 points per game this year, significantly lower than his 24.0 points per game last year.

The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one for threes; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have totaled the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.9).

The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).

Julius Randle has attempted a mere 5.2 free throws per game this year, quite a bit less than his 6.6 rate last year.

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