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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has tallied 32.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 24.0 clip, Julius Randle's points per game have tailed off this year to 18.9.

Julius Randle has missed 4.2 attempts from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's missed over the course of the season on his home court.

The matchup against Orlando is a difficult one; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while at home.

The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most sluggish pace road team in the league this year (the Orlando Magic).

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