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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.

When it comes to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 117.7 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 8th-best in the league over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Julius Randle has sunk 93.2% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 8.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 24.0 mark, Julius Randle's points per game have declined this season to 18.7.

Julius Randle has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).

The 7th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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