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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has registered 19.4 points per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's best in this category.

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle rates in the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game at home this year.

The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 3rd-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

The matchup against San Antonio may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 24 games when the San Antonio Spurs are away from home (4th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has sunk 17.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 10.7% lower than he's made in all games this season.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.

Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 points per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive productivity.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home.

Compared to last year's 6.6 mark, Julius Randle's number of free throw attempts has regressed this year to 5.2 free throw attempts per game.

More Julius Randle Player Props

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