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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has averaged 32.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 8.7 baskets per game (most in the NBA) against the Hornets, designating this as a good matchup.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Julius Randle has converted 95.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has scored a measly 18.8 points per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 24.0 points per game last year.

Julius Randle has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.

With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's poor 43.8% field goal rate measures as the 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

The matchup vs. the Hornets is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

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