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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Julius Randle has tallied 32.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The matchup vs. the 76ers is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (40.8%).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank best in in the league at home with 15.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup vs. Philadelphia may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Philadelphia 76ers are away from home (9th-most in the NBA).
  • Julius Randle will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last year's 24.0 rate, Julius Randle's points per game have fallen this year to 18.9.
  • Julius Randle has made 18.8% of his treys over the last 5 games, 10.3% lower than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.
  • The 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
  • Julius Randle has attempted a lowly 5.1 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 6.6 rate last year.

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