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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.

The 10th-quickest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Julius Randle has successfully made 91.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 8.5% higher than he's made overall this season.

The matchup against Phoenix may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Phoenix Suns have the home court advantage (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 24.0 mark, Julius Randle's points per game have fallen this season to 18.9.

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle comes in at the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a tough one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 3rd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (29.1%).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to decrease possessions for the Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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