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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle places in the 88th percentile, logging an enormous 18.9 points per game this year.

Julius Randle has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one; when the Hawks are the visiting team, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (21.1).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise plays for the Timberwolves.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has successfully made 19.7% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 10.3% lower than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.

In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's feeble 110.6 points per game ranks 9th-worst in the NBA this year.

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

In comparison to last year's 6.6 mark, Julius Randle's number of free throws has tailed off this year to 5.2 free throws per game.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting PFs vs. David Roddy has been quite low this year (2.8 foul shots per game: 23rd percentile).

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