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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Julius Randle has notched 18.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 88th percentile.
  • Julius Randle has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 5th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (44.8%).
  • The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle places in the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for unsuccessful three-pointers, posting a whopping 3.1 per game this year.
  • The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
  • In comparison to last season's 6.6 clip, Julius Randle's number of free throw attempts has declined this season to 5.3 free throw attempts per game.
  • When it comes to drawing fouls, the Minnesota Timberwolves's unimpressive 20.9 free throws per game measures as the 8th-worst in the NBA this year.
  • This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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