Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2025

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 22, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 88th percentile.
The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup.
Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle places in the 94th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a whopping 5.3 free throw attempts per game this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 24.0 clip, Julius Randle's points per game have diminished this year to 18.9.
The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 9thworst in in the league when playing on the road with just 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA).

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