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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 12/15/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has successfully made 42.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 9.0% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Among all players in the league, Julius Randle places in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 33.1 minutes per game this year.

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The Spurs have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Timberwolves.

Julius Randle has attempted 5.8 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 8.6 rate, Julius Randle's field goals converted have declined this season to 7.0 per game.

The matchup against San Antonio is a challenging one; when the Spurs are playing at home, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league while playing away from home this year.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The matchup against Jeremy Sochan is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when facing other starting PFs this year, they have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game (4th percentile).

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