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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Julius Randle measures in the 89th percentile, putting up a massive 20.7 points per game at home this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The Timberwolves have been the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home in regard to 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).

Julius Randle has sunk 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (85th percentile).

The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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