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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has tallied 33.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

As it relates to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 41.6% rate of made threes while playing at home measures as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Julius Randle has attempted 5.0 free throws per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are away from home (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has converted a mere 7.2 baskets per game this season, significantly less than his 8.6 rate last season.

Julius Randle has missed 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's missed from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 0.9 three-pointers per game (fewest in the league) against the Suns, branding this as a challenging matchup.

The Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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