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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 11/13/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has registered 20.2 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 88th percentile.

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year.

The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year with respect to 3-point shots.

The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Trail Blazers).

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle measures in the 94th percentile for drawing fouls, registering a massive 5.2 foul shots per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has failed to convert 3.4 3-point attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's missed over the course of the season.

The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a challenging one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (29.6%).

The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle will likely see a decline in productivity in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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