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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has compiled 21.7 points per game playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category.

Julius Randle has attempted 4.3 shots from downtown per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.4 minutes per game since the start of last season.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making this a strong matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Timberwolves.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

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