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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has converted 50.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 19.0% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.

Julius Randle has attempted 7.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Among all players in the NBA, Julius Randle rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a good one for three-point shots; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 29th-highest three percentage in the league this year (43.4%).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Knicks check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league at home this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the New York Knicks.

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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