Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Points

LA Clippers vs New York Knicks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 3:26 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has registered 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 more than he's registered overall this year.
Julius Randle has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 4thbest in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (21st-most in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Julius Randle has attempted a measly 5.4 3-pointers per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 8.1 rate last year.
Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle lands in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.6 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to scoring, the New York Knicks's feeble 46.3% field goal rate settles in as the 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 0.9 threes per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the LA Clippers, making this a difficult matchup.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

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