Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Points

Phoenix Suns vs New York Knicks · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 3:10 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has successfully made 11.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.4 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
Julius Randle has converted 53.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 19.7% higher than he's converted in all games this year away from home.
Julius Randle has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 14.9 field goal attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 3.2 clip, Julius Randle's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 3.2.
The Knicks rank as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league away from their home court this year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
Without the home court advantage, the Phoenix Suns have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).