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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 33.0 minutes per game at home this year.

In contrast to last season's 0.1 rate, Julius Randle's technical fouls have decreased this season to 0.0 per game.

The Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Suns, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Julius Randle will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 24.2 rate, Julius Randle's points per game have regressed this year to 19.1.

Relative to last season's 8.1 clip, Julius Randle's three-point attempts have diminished this season to 6.1 per game.

The Knicks have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year.

The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.8).

The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.

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