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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Relative to last year's 7.2 mark, Julius Randle's number of foul shots has risen this year to 6.9 foul shots per game.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.6 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on their home court (22nd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has averaged just 19.4 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 24.2 points per game last year.

In contrast to last season's 8.1 rate, Julius Randle's shot attempts from downtown have diminished this season to 6.2 per game.

In contrast to last season's 3.2 clip, Julius Randle's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 3.4.

The Knicks have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have logged 8.0 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive performance.

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