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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 11/15/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle places in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.6 minutes per game this year.

Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have registered 16.4 points per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive performance.

The Knicks are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo road team in the league this year (the Hawks).

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 14thbest in in the league while on their home court with 14.2 offensive boards per game this year.

When playing on the road, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 24.2 rate, Julius Randle's points per game have decreased this season to 18.0.

Julius Randle has attempted a lowly 6.6 threes per game this year, significantly lower than his 8.1 rate last year.

The Knicks check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year.

The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game since the start of last season (14th-least in the league).

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