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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has attempted 9.5 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Julius Randle has averaged 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The New York Knicks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle has converted an impressive 5.3 free throws per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 4.2 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The New York Knicks have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year.

This matchup is a good one for field goals; opposing squads have compiled the 6th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA over the last 5 games (50.3%).

The matchup vs. Miami is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Heat are away from home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 6th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.1).

The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year.

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