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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has attempted 22.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Julius Randle has attempted 10.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Julius Randle has played 35.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 25th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).

The New York Knicks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.9 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.

The New York Knicks check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Knicks.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.0 foul shots per game this year (9th-least in the NBA).

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