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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Julius Randle has posted 30.8 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 9.7 more than he's posted overall this year on the road.
  • Julius Randle has converted 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season away from home.
  • Julius Randle has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Knicks.
  • The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a difficult one; when the Lakers are playing at home, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 5 games (4.0).
  • The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
  • Playing at home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Julius Randle will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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