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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has averaged 30.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 9.7 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.

Julius Randle has sunk 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 higher than he's made from three overall this year while playing on the road.

Julius Randle has played 34.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Knicks check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for threes; opposing starting PFs have posted the 13th-lowest three percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (31.1%).

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Knicks.

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 3.0 free throws per game since the start of last season (9th-least in the league).

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