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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/12/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Julius Randle Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has attempted 8.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.4 rate last year.

Julius Randle has averaged 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 14th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (28.5%).

The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Knicks.

Julius Randle will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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