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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/10/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Julius Randle Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has attempted 8.1 treys per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.4 rate last year.

Julius Randle has tallied 34.6 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The matchup against Miami is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have put up the 15th-lowest three rate in the league this year (26.0%).

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Knicks.

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