Julius Randle Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2023

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 18, 2023

Updated Mar 18, 2023 12:51 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has attempted 7.3 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Julius Randle has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Julius Randle has sunk 26.3% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 24th percentile out of all players in the league.
Julius Randle has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 9th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
The New York Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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