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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Assists
Player Prop - 5/2/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Julius Randle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -168 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Julius Randle has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Knicks.
  • The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Julius Randle will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to improves player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Julius Randle has totaled a mere 4.0 assists per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 5.1 assists per game last year.
  • Julius Randle has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

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