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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Assists
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

Julius Randle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has averaged 5.1 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 92nd percentile.

Julius Randle has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (94th percentile).

The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league while playing away from home this year.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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