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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Assists
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Julius Randle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has tallied 5.1 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 92nd percentile.

Julius Randle has played 34.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (94th percentile).

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Knicks.

Julius Randle will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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