Julian Strawther Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 13, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+122/-159).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has tallied 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Julian Strawther has averaged 0.3 offensive boards per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 21st percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Julian Strawther registers in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.4 fouls per game away from home this year.
Julian Strawther will likely experience a decrease in productivity across the board in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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