Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has attempted 11.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Julian Strawther has attempted 6.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Julian Strawther has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 higher than he's played overall this year.
The 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Julian Strawther ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.4 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have logged 12.1 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive production.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, struggling to get to the foul line.