Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has attempted 10.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Julian Strawther has attempted 6.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Julian Strawther has tallied 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games on their home court.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Julian Strawther has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have compiled 12.1 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive production.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.