Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2025

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic · Feb 6, 2025

Updated Feb 7, 2025 4:54 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has converted 2.5 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year on his home court.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in in the league while playing at home with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Julian Strawther should see a rise in productivity for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Julian Strawther has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).
The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nuggets.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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