Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has attempted 6.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Julian Strawther should see a spike in output for all stats on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Julian Strawther has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

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