Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2025

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 3, 2025

Updated Feb 4, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has sunk 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year at home.
As it relates to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 122.6 points per game places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets.
Over the last 19 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Julian Strawther slots into the 80th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.3 fouls per game at home this year.
The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a tough one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (9.1).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 7thworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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