Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 2:49 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season playing at home.
The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.
Among all players in the league, Julian Strawther ranks in the 76th percentile for foul-shot performance with an impressive 85.2% rate this year.
Julian Strawther stands to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Julian Strawther measures in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 4thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

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