Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-113/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has attempted 5.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Julian Strawther has averaged 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road.
The Nuggets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Julian Strawther has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Favors Under

Julian Strawther has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
Julian Strawther will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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